Archive for the ‘Members’ Corner’ Category

NFL 2016 Playoffs Championship Sunday

Courtesy of Nattering Naybob.

Following up on our Divisional Playoff projections, all match up stats in Yards Per Attempt, provided by Pro Football Reference.  All times Eastern.

From our Wildcard Weekend projections

As they are both hotter than a squirrel putting suntan oil on his nuts, keep your eyes on these dark horses…

In the NFC, watch the GB Sausage Packers, the potential of facing Mr. Rodgers and his O-line has the DAL Pokes (aka Jerry’s Kids) defensive coordinator sweatin like a priest at a preschool.

In the AFC, watch the Three Rivers PIT Riveters, the potential of facing that O-line and Mr. Bell has the NE Minutemen defensive coordinator sweatin like a hooker in church.


And here are both of those squirrels…

Sunday 3:05PM FOX

#4 GB Packers (Road 5-4) #2 ATL Falcons (Home 6-3) 
Weather: Dome Perfect
Spread ATL -4 OU 60

ATL Offense Run #5 4.6; Pass #1 8.2 Sacked 40  TODiff +13

GB Defense Run #14 4.0; Pass #30 7.1 Sacks 44

GB  Offense Run #7 4.5 Pass #17 6.4  Sacked 43  TODiff +10

ATL Defense Run #26 4.5 Pass #12 6.2 Sacks 37

Two weeks ago: In the NFC, watch the GB Sausage Packers, the potential of facing Mr. Rodgers and his O-line has the DAL Pokes (aka Jerry’s Kids) defensive coordinator sweatin like a priest at a preschool.


Last week: the Cheese Heads are hotter than a squirrel putting suntan oil on his nuts.

Week 8 in the Dirty Bird’s nest, last second heroics by Private Ryan saved the day GB 32, ATL 33. The box score reads like a dead heat, except Rodgers running for his life, was GB’s leading rusher 6-60yds as he was held to 223 yds in the air.  This time Ty Montgomery can help Mr. Rodgers cause?


Last week, as the Pokes had a problem getting after Mr. Rodgers. Mr. Rodger’s and gang shot down Jerry’s Kid’s with last second heroics.  Meanwhile, the Dirty Birds literally BROKE the Legion of Boom into pieces fit for a pigeon.


Can either defense offer resistance? Perhaps unlike the Pokes, the Dirty Birds can get after Mr. Rodgers? This game should be a track meet reminiscent of Dan Fout’s and Air Coryell. He who makes the fewest mistakes, converts for TD’s and can pressure the other teams QB.


Setting our line: ATL -5.5 + -3pts at home nets ATL -8.5. Our pick, road dog GB +4 ATS and SU.



Sunday 6:40PM CBS 

#3 PIT Steelers (Road 6-3) @ #1
continue reading





NFL 2016 Playoffs Divisional Results

Courtesy of Nattering Naybob.

This week rather than Tuesdays with Trump…  

Following up on our Divisional projections, all match up stats in Yards Per Attempt, provided by Pro Football Reference.  All times Eastern. Last week… 

#3 SEA Seahawks 20 @ #2 ATL Falcons 36

Spread ATL -4.5 OU 51.5 – our pick ATL -4.5 ATS and SU.  ATS 3-2; SU 4-1

SEA migrating South to a strange nest will be a test. Week 6 - ATL WR Julio Jones torched the Squawk secondary 7-139yds. TOP and TOM will be the key to this matchup. ATL - they must air it out.


TOP ATL 33 SEA 27 min.; TOM ATL +2; end of story?  Nope. The Falcons held their ground 101 vs 99 yds and dominated the Squawks in the air 323 vs 208 yds.  Private Ryan spread the ball amongst 8 receivers, Jones 6 for 67 yds. 


The dirty birds are red hot, seemingly unstoppable on offense, and their defense seems to be jelling at the right time.  One more game under the Georgia Dome vs Mr. Rodgers.



#4 HOU Texans 16 @ #1 NE Patriots  34

Spread NE -15.5 OU 44.5 – our pick NE -15.5 ATS and SU. ATS 4-2; SU 5-1

(vs Raiders) The Texan D and a limited ground game 123yds on 44 attempts, did the heavy lifting. Such luck awaits in Foxboro?  Last year, Ostweiler’s Broncos beat Brady, these Texans are not last years Broncos. Week 3 in Foxboro, NE 27 HOU ZERO with 3 TO’s.


The Minutemen held their ground 98 vs 104; winning in the air 279 vs 181 yet, TOP HOU 33 – 27. In a sloppy game with six TO’s, the Pats spotted the Texans 13 points and still barely covered. 


With 12 mins remaining a one score game 24-16, after which the Texans decided to give back 2 of their TOM advantage.  A team taking advantage of TOM (not Brady), would have eaten the Pats alive.



#4 GB Packers 34 @ #1 DAL Cowboys 31

Spread DAL -4.5 OU 52 – our pick DAL -4.5 ATS and SU. ATS 4-3 SU 5-2

Last week: Week 6 the Pokes clubbed the Pack like a harp seal on the tundra 30-16 with 233 pass and 191 rushing yds as the Packers also lost TOM 4-2. 


This time, the Packers did not lose the TOM battle. Jerry’s Kids started slow and Mr. Rodger’s gang jumped all over them, 8 mins prior to the half it was 21-3. Yet, the Poke’s managed to pull even 28-28 with 4 min.

continue reading





Same Time Last Year?

Courtesy of Nattering Naybob.

In January 2016, as the Chinese stock market was taking a dip along with the SP500, Fed officials made some choice comments. One year later we review..



To me, it is not as surprising than maybe to some commentators that we’re seeing a weaker data in terms of manufacturing. This seems to be part of a process that’s been going on in the last couple of years. We have been seeing pretty good data out of China on consumer spending in some of the other areas, so I’m not as concerned about that.” – Jan 4, 2016 - SF Fed President John Williams



“If the volatility continues for several weeks, I may have to revise my view that I don’t now see a connection between financial markets abroad and the real economy. – Jan 11, 2016 – Atlanta Fed Gov Dennis Lockhart





Another Fed official, Loretta Mester, had similar comments.


We’ve built in a weakening path for China. I don’t see that as a significant risk to the forecast” for the U.S. economy, the Cleveland Fed president told Bloomberg TV, according to Reuters. 



Mester, a voting member of the Federal Open Market Committee, also said that weak Chinese manufacturing data “started sort of a downturn of the Chinese stock market and then that spilled over to the U.S. stock markets. I am not that concerned about that in terms of the U.S. economy.
Looking in retrospect at these seemingly oblivious comments, with an incoming Trump administration which has rattled the sword of protectionism, we have only one thing to Natter…











How To Poop On A Date?

Courtesy of Nattering Naybob.

Back for a brief respite, it’s “in the Toilet Thursday” or “Thursday in the Loo”. Our last episode The Best Thing To Happen To Pooping, Since Your Butt, laid down a historical perspective.  



This week in How To Poop on a Date? we are graced with a delicate shituation: when your finally back at her place, snuggling in for a little “brown chicken brown cow” and you get hit with “Love Potion #2“.  Oh what to do…










Tweets, tweets and nothing but tweets.

Trump voters are not going to like this, but it is pretty funny.

Tweets, tweets and nothing but tweets.





NFL 2016 Playoffs Divisional

Courtesy of Nattering Naybob.

UPDATED: 01/12/17 as noted below in bold and underlined

Following up on our Wild Card Weekend projections, all match up stats in Yards Per Attempt, provided by Pro Football Reference.  All times Eastern. Last week… 

OAK 14 @ HOU 27; our pick OAK ATS +3.5 and SU.  ATS 0-1; SU 0-1 


Both QB’s will struggle and he who makes the fewest mistakes?   A +23 differential for OAK in that respect, sloppy teams lose and we see da Raiders headed to Beantown.


A 3rd string rookie making his first start and schizo O-line doomed OAK. When TOM (turn over margin) is a sloppy 3-0, you lose.  The Texan D and a limited ground game 123yds on 44 attempts, did the heavy lifting. Such luck awaits in Foxboro?  



DET 6 @ SEA 26: our pick SEA -8 ATS and SU; ATS 1-1; SU 1-1


After starting 1-3, then streaking 8-1 over a collection of trash teams, the Motor City Kitties finished 0-3 to NYG, DAL and GB while backing into the #6 seed. Since Week 11, Kitties avg rushing 75 yds and they will have to air it out vs Squawks D.


Squawks dominated the trenches with D, allowing the Kitties to scratch out only 239 yds, and on the ground, 177 yds vs 49; TOP 36 min vs 23; 3DC 9-16 vs 2-11. Migrating South to a strange nest will be a test.



MIA 12 @ PIT 30; our pick PIT -10 ATS and SU; ATS 2-1, SU 2-1


Last 11 games, the Dolphin defense gave up an average 136 rush yds. Over that same period the Steelers have averaged 160 yds per game on the ground. In Week 16 the sliced sushi defense allowed the Bison 272 rushing yds.


Frozen Sashimi QB Moore 1 int, sacked 5 times, 2 fumbles did not help. PIT dominated with D and on the ground 179 vs 52. Big Ben 2 ints on only 18 passing attempts. The Chefs may not be so accommodating.



NYG 13 @ GB 38; our pick NYG +4.5 ATS and GB SU.  ATS 2-2; SU 3-1


A 2-3 GI-Ant team who have since gone 9-2.  Excepting the Pokes, said win streak was against some dubious competition. Both teams can air it out, the only offensive difference is the Giant’s anemic ground game.


Both were anemic on the ground at 75 yds and NYG lost TOM 2-0. Pack controlled the ball in the air, TOP 34

continue reading





Final Update – NCAA CFP 2016 Football Bowl Predictions

Courtesy of Nattering Naybob.

Our final update for this exercise in futility is up. At the end of the day, not bad.





Answering The Prayer of St. Francis of Assisi?

Courtesy of Nattering Naybob.

This week’s Tuesday’s With Trump, not to be confused with Tuesday’s With Morrie… 

Carl Nicholas Karcher (January 16, 1917 – January 11, 2008) was an American businessman, founder of the Carl’s Jr. hamburger chain, now owned by parent company CKE Restaurants, Inc.


Carl’s Jr. CEO Andy Puzder has earned kudos for turning around a troubled CKE after he linked up with its founder, Carl Karcher, in 1991 and where he has been CEO since 2000. - LA Times

The new management team had ended the longtime practice of starting every executive meeting with the prayer of St. Francis of Assisi and the pledge of allegiance to the flag[Circa May 1992] 

On March 1, 1993,CKE’s board voted five to two to fire Carl N. Karcher.  

Eight weeks after being locked out of his office in 1993,Carl engineered a takeover of the company.Through a complex series of transactions, a partnership headed by financier William P. Foley II assumed some of Carl’s debts, received much of his stock in return, and took control of CKE. Foley became the new chairman of the board. Carl was named chairman emeritus and got his old office back. Almost all of the executives and directors who had opposed him subsequently left the company.” – Fast Food Nation

Karcher was an active member and Knight of SMOM – the Sovereign Military Order of Malta. Karcher was a lifelong supporter of Conservative causes. Karcher Enterprises made contributions to the anti abortion “terrorist group”  Operation Rescue. The restaurant chain has also been a major donor for Conservative Super PACs and the Republican Party.

Karcher was an early supporter of John Schmitz, a Republican and member of the John Birch Society, who represented Orange County in the California State Senate and later Congress. Schmitz was the presidential nominee of the American Independent Party in 1972.  Source Wiki

Lauren Kelley, the activism and gender editor at AlterNet, pulled together a list of five food companies run by radical right wingers.”who’ve spent significant money opposing gay rights, abortion rights, and other important causes and funding attack ads against left-leaning politicians.

Carl’s Jr. (Hardee’s) founder Carl Karcher, who died in 2008, writes Kelley, had been a supporter of anti-abortion causes, like Operation Rescue, for decades. He


continue reading





A Rhino or More?

Courtesy of Nattering Naybob.

From Rhino: “The bill rate has become intertwined with the GC repo rate; the repo rate previously trading instead in proximity to 1-month LIBOR until the big bond selloff in mid-November (“dollar”).



Wonder why. (Sarcastic)  RHINO means Rate Hike In Name Only.  Speaking of rates, IOER (interest on excess reserves) is Fed guaranteed pay to let excess reserves lay fallow.  In December, the Fed raised their Fed Funds rate. 




Who cares what Fed funds is at, as that transaction quantity is dwarfed by repo.  Along those lines, Libor is unsecured, repo is not. Looking at a graph of increasing repo fails (or what is no longer acceptable as collateral in those secured clearing transactions) paints a picture worth a thousand words. 




Hence the price of loan funds, in all its various forms, secured or unsecured, rises and shall continue to do so. There is a dearth of moneyness to keep the wheels lubricated. In such times, when the cost of loan funds rises, anything with acceptable “moneyness” gets squeezed up in value concomitant.  




Under such conditions the price of loan funds can influence the price of money, but never to be conflated as one and the same. Interest rates are never the price of money, they are the price of loan funds. The price of money is reflected in FX exchange pairs and currency indexes.




Coming back to IOER, this form of remuneration on reserves disintermediates banks from being in the lending business and has a deleterious economic effect by arresting transactional velocity.  Just in case you missed it…. 




The Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System voted unanimously to raise the interest rate paid on required and excess reserve balances to 0.75 percent, effective December 15, 2016.










NCAA CFP 2016 Football Bowl Update 01/05/07

Courtesy of Nattering Naybob.

01/05/17 Update – Since last update ATS 3-1; SU 4-0; Locks 0-1; through Sugar Bowl ATS 22-19; SU 26-15; Locks 6-7.  A Trojan like rally with one more update to go.



For up to date results click here.





 
 
 

Zero Hedge

"Deploraball" Protests Turn Bloody As Trump Supporter Assaulted With Flagpole

Courtesy of ZeroHedge. View original post here.

Reports have been rolling in all evening of vicious mobs of violent protesters around Washington DC attacking Donald Trump supporters in town for the inauguration, including people on their way to and from tonight's pre-Inauguration "Deploraball" celebration, held at the National Press Club building. Over 1000 guests were invited to the event organized by Mike @Cernovich and the pro-Trump MAGA3X organization.

As Fox News ...



more from Tyler

Phil's Favorites

News You Can Use From Phil's Stock World

 

Financial Markets and Economy

Saudi Arabia could see more instability if oil doesn't get back up to $60 (Business Insider)

With the OPEC production deal holding, at least for the moment, questions have now arisen over how prospects look for the cartel’s biggest producer. It’s been a strange few years for the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia, as its endured budget deficits for the first time in its modern history, stagnation in oil prices and rising competition from other OPEC members and the American shale boom.

Euro zone yields spike as Yellen comments add to pressure on ECB (Reuters)

Euro zone bond yields rose sharply on T...



more from Ilene

Market News

News You Can Use From Phil's Stock World

 

Financial Markets and Economy

Saudi Arabia could see more instability if oil doesn't get back up to $60 (Business Insider)

With the OPEC production deal holding, at least for the moment, questions have now arisen over how prospects look for the cartel’s biggest producer. It’s been a strange few years for the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia, as its endured budget deficits for the first time in its modern history, stagnation in oil prices and rising competition from other OPEC members and the American shale boom.

Euro zone yields spike as Yellen comments add to pressure on ECB (Reuters)

Euro zone bond yields rose sharply on T...



more from Paul

ValueWalk

Nuggets of Wisdom: Warren Buffett on Investing, Leverage and Market Bubbles

By VWArticles. Originally published at ValueWalk.

]]> Get The Full Walter Schloss Series in PDF

Get the entire 10-part series on Walter Schloss in PDF. Save it to your desktop, read it on your tablet, or email to your colleagues.

We respect your email privacy

Chart via Larry Cunningham

The post Nuggets of Wisdom: Warren Buffett on Investing, Leverage and Market Bubbles appeared first on ValueWalk.

Sign up for ValueWalk's free newsletter ...



more from ValueWalk

Chart School

Small Cap Losses Accelerate

Courtesy of Declan.

Small Caps again took the brunt of the selling as Shorts took advantage of yesterday's small rally back to former support (turned resistance) to enter positions. With the 'bull trap' in full effect, the next target down for the index is 1,308. Of supporting technicals, only Stochastics [39,1] is left to break its bullish alignment,


The S&P took a modest loss, but not enough to break it out of its consolidation. Volume was also lighter. With the Russell 2000 on the way down, it's suggesting the S&P will follow suit....

more from Chart School

Kimble Charting Solutions

Will it be different this time for stocks and bonds?

Courtesy of Chris Kimble.

My mentor Sir John Templeton (founder of the Templeton Funds) used to share that the four most dangerous words in investing are; “It’s Different This Time!” 

Below looks at long term charts on the S&P 500 and the yield on the 10-year note (inverted to look like bond prices).

CLICK ON CHART TO ENLARGE

...

more from Kimble C.S.

Members' Corner

NFL 2016 Playoffs Championship Sunday

Courtesy of Nattering Naybob.

Following up on our Divisional Playoff projections, all match up stats in Yards Per Attempt, provided by Pro Football Reference.  All times Eastern.

From our Wildcard Weekend projections...
As they are both hotter than a squirrel putting suntan oil on his nuts, keep your eyes on these dark horses...In the NFC, watch the GB Sausage Packers, the potential of facing Mr. Rodgers and his O-line has the DAL Pokes (aka Jerry's Kids) defensive coordinator sweatin like a priest at a preschool.In the AFC, watch the Three Ri...

more from Our Members

OpTrader

Swing trading portfolio - week of January 16th, 2017

Reminder: OpTrader is available to chat with Members, comments are found below each post.

 

This post is for all our live virtual trade ideas and daily comments. Please click on "comments" below to follow our live discussion. All of our current  trades are listed in the spreadsheet below, with entry price (1/2 in and All in), and exit prices (1/3 out, 2/3 out, and All out).

We also indicate our stop, which is most of the time the "5 day moving average". All trades, unless indicated, are front-month ATM options. 

Please feel free to participate in the discussion and ask any questions you might have about this virtual portfolio, by clicking on the "comments" link right below.

To learn more about the swing trading virtual portfolio (strategy, performance, FAQ, etc.), please click here ...



more from OpTrader

Digital Currencies

China's Bitcoin Exchanges Suspend Margin Trading

Courtesy of Zero Hedge

China's bitcoin traders who use the most popular bitcoin exchange not only in China, but also the entire world, BTCChina, were met with an unexpected warning on Friday:

Starting from January 12th, 2017, BTCChina has suspended margin loan service. If you have any questions, please contact Customer Service: support@btcc.com.

BTCChina, which commands over 37% of global bitcoin trading...

... wasn't alone.

Fo...



more from Bitcoin

Mapping The Market

If we try it enough, it will work.

Via Jean-Luc

Brownback wants Trump to emulate what he did in Kansas because it worked so well:

Sam Brownback Calls on Donald Trump to Mimic His Kansas Tax Plan

By RICHARD RUBIN and  WILL CONNORS

Sam Brownback, the Kansas governor whose tax cuts brought him political turmoil, recurring budget holes and sparse evidence of economic success, has a message for President-elect Donald Trump: Do what I did.

In 2013, Mr. Brownback set out to create a lean, business-friendly government in his state that other Republicans could replicate. He now faces a $350 million deficit when the Kansas legislature convenes in January and projections of a larger one in 2018. The state’s economy is flat and his party is fractured...

...

more from M.T.M.

Biotech

The Medicines Company: Insider Buying

Reminder: Pharmboy and Ilene are available to chat with Members, comments are found below each post.

I'm seeing huge insider buying in the biotech company The Medicines Company (MDCO). The price has already moved up around 7%, but these buys are significant, in the millions of dollars range. ~ Ilene

 

 

 

Insider transaction table and buying vs. selling graphic above from insidercow.com.

Chart below from Yahoo.com

...

more from Biotech

Promotions

Phil's Stock World's Las Vegas Conference!

 

Come join us for the Phil's Stock World's Conference in Las Vegas!

Date:  Sunday, Feb 12, 2017 and Monday Feb 13, 2017.            

Beginning Time:  8:00 am Sunday morning

Location: Caesar's Palace in Las Vegas

Notes

Caesar's has tentatively offered us rooms for $189 on Saturday night and $129 for Sunday night. However, we have to sign the contract ASAP. We need at least 10 people to pay me via Paypal or we may lose the best rate for the rooms. (Once we are guaranteed ten attendees, I will put up instructions to call the hotel for individual rooms.)

The more people who sign up,...



more from Promotions

All About Trends

Mid-Day Update

Reminder: Harlan is available to chat with Members, comments are found below each post.

Click here for the full report.




To learn more, sign up for David's free newsletter and receive the free report from All About Trends - "How To Outperform 90% Of Wall Street With Just $500 A Week." Tell David PSW sent you. - Ilene...

more from David



FeedTheBull - Top Stock market and Finance Sites



About Phil:

Philip R. Davis is a founder Phil's Stock World, a stock and options trading site that teaches the art of options trading to newcomers and devises advanced strategies for expert traders...

Learn more About Phil >>


As Seen On:




About Ilene:

Ilene is editor and affiliate program coordinator for PSW. She manages the site market shadows, archives, more. Contact Ilene to learn about our affiliate and content sharing programs.

Market Shadows >>