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Thursday, May 16, 2024

Hikes Keep On Slippin’, Slippin’, Slipin’ Into the Future; Treasury Yields Sink Again

Courtesy of Mish.

Treasury Yields Drop Again

Curve Watcher's Anonymous notes a further plunge in yields today following the disastrous payroll and factory order reports.

Yield on the 30-year long bond fell to 2.80% from 2.85% yesterday. Yield on the 10-year note once again sports a 1-handle at 1.97%, down from 2.03%.

Treasury Yields vs. Month and Year Ago

Data plotted from Bloomberg US Treasury Yields.

Rate Hike Odds

Curve Watcher's Anonymous also has an eye on rate hike odds. Here is a chart I put together on the evolution of rate hike odds. I captured two previous data points. Today I added October 2.

Data for the above from CME FedWatch.


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