Courtesy of Mish.
Forget about what the oddsmakers say about Trump’s election chances. Instead, let’s focus on polls at the state and national level, and assess the election from a pragmatic point of view.
What would it take for Trump to close the gap? Is it possible?
Let’s start our analysis with a look at a National Poll Average of recent polls by Real Clear Politics.
Momentum Shifts Back to Trump
That chart represents national data. The election will be won or lost at the state level. However let’s dive further into national numbers a bit to see what is happening.
Biased Average of Polls