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Sunday, November 27, 2022


Americans’ Savings Rate Plunges Near Record Lows As Inflation Overwhelms Income Growth

Via ZeroHedge

Americans’ personal incomes and spending were expected to increase MoM in September (on a nominal basis) and they did with spending rising more than expected (+0.6% MoM vs +0.5% exp)

Source: Bloomberg

On a YoY notional basis, spending continues to outpace income growth significantly, but both are slowing…

Source: Bloomberg

On the income side, private worker wage growth is slowing rapidly:

  • Private wages up 8.1% in Sept, down from 8.5% in Aug and the lowest since March 21

  • Govt wages up 4.2%, unch from Sept, and the lowest since July

Source: Bloomberg

But, on a real, inflation-adjusted basis, incomes continue to shrink while spending remains marginally higher…

Source: Bloomberg

All of which means the savings rate plunged to multi-decade lows at 3.1%, just shy of the record low 3.0%…

Source: Bloomberg

But, but, but, the economy is “strong as hell”?

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